Run the Numbers

CJ Gustafson
Run the Numbers
Último episodio

284 episodios

  • Run the Numbers

    How a CFO Budgets for Forward Deployed Engineers

    19/2/2026 | 53 min
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Varsha Udayabhanu of Invisible to unpack what enterprise AI adoption actually looks like beyond the hype. They cover forward deployed engineers, eight-week solution sprints, value-based pricing when outcomes are hard to meter, ARR vs. services revenue, and why “momentum” beats traditional SaaS metrics. A tactical look at trust, expansion, and building durable AI revenue.

    SPONSORS:
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    LINKS: 
    Varsha: https://www.linkedin.com/in/varshaudayabhanu/
    Company: https://invisibletech.ai/
    CJ: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Marketing as a Form of Capital Allocation With Carta's Head of Growth Angela Winegar
    https://youtu.be/rG09ehsrWv8

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00 Intro
    03:21 What Invisible Technologies Does
    05:34 Enterprise AI Adoption Gap
    07:38 Forward Deployed Engineers
    09:44 Evolving GTM in AI Services
    10:36 Solution Sprints
    12:37 Sponsor — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
    15:56 Upfront Investment vs. Upside
    18:38 Bespoke Deals
    20:37 Value-Based Pricing in Enterprise AI
    22:12 Value Sold vs. Value Delivered
    23:31 Enterprise Revenue as a Portfolio of Bets
    24:53 Time-Bound Solution Sprints
    27:06 Sponsor — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum
    30:32 Humans in the Loop & Expert Incentives
    33:38 Niche Human Expertise
    34:10 Rethinking KPIs Beyond ARR
    35:44 Momentum Metrics
    39:00 Evaluating GenAI Financial Profiles
    40:47 Expansion as the Atomic Unit
    42:19 AdTech Lessons on Distribution & Brand
    43:23 Why Brand Matters for Enterprise
    47:10 Commoditization Risk
    48:31 Long-Ass Lightning Round
    53:20 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    What Investors Want to Hear in Board Meetings

    16/2/2026 | 53 min
    In this episode, CJ talks with Paul Stansik of ParkerGale Capital about what separates Simplifiers from Complicators. They unpack why most board meetings miss the point, how to answer the actual question, and why naming the real problem builds trust.

    SPONSORS:
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    LINKS: 
    Paul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulstansik/
    ParkerGale Capital: https://www.parkergale.com/
    https://hellooperator.substack.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    0:00 Fixing Broken Windows in Investing
    3:08 What an Operating Partner Actually Does
    5:35 Managing Nine Portfolio Companies
    6:07 Where PE Investors Spend Their Time
    9:02 Do Investors Think About You All Day?
    10:16 The Operator “Bermuda Triangle”
    12:35 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
    15:52 The CFO “Triangle of Doom”
    17:47 How to Become an Investor Favorite
    18:42 Templates Build Trust in Board Communication
    20:54 Using Trusted Data
    22:10 The Board Payback Record Scratch
    23:18 Building Your “Data Diet” With the Board
    25:19 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
    28:47 Signs a Team Isn’t in Command
    31:30 Board Meetings Aren’t a Performance
    34:16 “20 Board Meetings—Don’t Waste Them”
    35:15 Ask Permission to Reallocate the Agenda
    37:54 When to Send Board Materials
    40:28 Simplifiers vs. Complicators
    41:58 The Simplifier Finds the One Question That Matters
    42:16 Three Traits of a Simplifier: Answer, Find, Do
    43:15 Why Complicated Operators Take You on a Ride
    44:26 Selling vs. Substance
    46:23 “Get There, Bob”
    47:25 Why We Hedge
    49:36 You Can’t Fix a Secret
    52:50 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Rivian’s CFO on Raising $14B and EV Economics

    12/2/2026 | 49 min
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson talks with Rivian CFO Claire McDonough about financing one of the most capital-intensive businesses in the world. They cover long-term investment decisions, capacity planning, cash management as production scales, lessons from Rivian’s nearly $14B IPO, the risks of over- and under-building, and why federal EV tax credits matter more than most people think.

    SPONSORS:
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    LINKS: 
    Claire on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/claire-rauh-mcdonough-5291b946/
    Rivian: https://rivian.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    RELATED EPISODES:
    Why Revenue Recognition Is the Next AI Battleground | Dan Miller of RightRev
    https://youtu.be/TxhTtwmOass

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00:00 Craziest Expense Story at Rivian
    00:01:22 Intro to Claire McDonough
    00:03:09 Capital Intensity and Vertical Integration at Rivian
    00:06:44 Raising $14B: How Rivian Planned Its IPO Capital
    00:10:22 Capacity Planning and Scaling R2 Production
    00:12:13 Sponsors — Tabs, Abacum, Brex
    00:15:34 Sweating Existing Capacity vs Overbuilding
    00:18:22 Winning EV Adoption from ICE Buyers
    00:22:27 How Federal EV Tax Credits Shape EV Pricing
    00:26:03 Sponsors — Metronome, RightRev, Rillet
    00:29:27 R2 as a Driver of Long-Term Profitability
    00:33:14 Supply Chain as the Critical Path to Launch
    00:36:53 Product Roadmap as the Anchor for Capital and Headcount
    00:39:40 Peloton and Flipkart Lessons from Banking
    00:43:42 Biggest Career Mistake
    00:44:50 Advice to Younger Self
    00:47:19 Rivian’s Finance Software Stack
  • Run the Numbers

    Why Revenue Recognition Is the Next AI Battleground | Dan Miller of RightRev

    09/2/2026 | 47 min
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Dan Miller, CFO at RightRev. They unpack why leasing is underused in software, how RevTech emerged, and why revenue recognition may be the next AI battleground. Dan also shares how he evaluates durable growth vs. hypergrowth.

    SPONSORS:
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    LINKS: 
    Dan on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/danmillercpa/
    RightRev: https://www.rightrev.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00:00 Preview and Intro
    00:02:41 Why Operating Experience Matters for CFOs
    00:04:08 Defining Durable Growth
    00:06:06 Snowflake and Consumption Revenue Complexity
    00:10:17 Forecasting in Consumption Models
    00:11:29 AI’s Role in Revenue Forecasting
    00:12:14 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacus AI
    00:15:39 Comping Sales in Usage-Based Models
    00:18:15 Leasing as a Software Monetization Tool
    00:20:47 The CFO’s Role in Sales and GTM
    00:22:29 How CFOs Help Close Deals
    00:24:14 Rev Tech vs RevOps
    00:26:20 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev
    00:29:40 Where AI Actually Helps Rev Rec
    00:31:55 Deterministic vs Probabilistic AI
    00:33:05 Why Enterprises Hesitate on AI Agents
    00:34:18 Startups vs Incumbents in the AI Race
    00:35:13 FOMO, Overfunding, and Market Distortions
    00:38:13 CFO Playbooks Without Hypergrowth
    00:39:38 Finding PMF as a CFO
    00:41:15 Career Advice: Growth vs Shiny Objects
    00:42:00 Building the CEO–CFO Relationship
    00:42:49 Learning Beyond the Back Office
    00:43:22 Lightning Round
    00:44:28 Advice to My Younger Self
    00:45:09 Finance Tech Stack
    00:46:36 Credits
  • Run the Numbers

    Zombie companies, ARR, and broken SaaS economics | Brett Queener

    05/2/2026 | 1 h 12 min
    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Brett Queener, Managing Director at Bonfire Ventures, to trace the origins of ARR and examine how new revenue models are reshaping B2B software. Drawing on Brett’s time at Salesforce and SmartRecruiters, they explore the shift from annual contracts to outcome-based pricing, what it means for forecasting and gtm strategy, and where the next major inflection points in SaaS are likely to emerge.

    SPONSORS:
    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com
    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj
    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run
    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai
    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics
    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    LINKS: 
    Brett on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brettqueener/
    Brett’s Substack: https://queener.substack.com/
    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/
    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com
    The Staffing Ratios Salesforce Used, with Brett Queener of Bonfire VC
    https://youtu.be/lJVgstAXjJs

    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:02:54 Welcome Brett & episode setup
    00:03:51 On-prem software to SaaS
    00:05:54 Salesforce & recurring revenue
    00:07:15 On-prem costs & partner bloat
    00:09:58 Contracts, control & comp shifts
    00:14:15 Lock-in, renewals & SaaS drift
    00:16:20 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs
    00:19:48 From buying to hiring software
    00:21:59 Agents change pricing & planning
    00:25:59 Forecasting without ARR
    00:28:03 Talent models break
    00:29:45 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome
    00:33:01 Rethinking sales & comp
    00:36:47 Selling by doing the job
    00:40:50 The future role of sales
    00:46:10 Zombie SaaS & category collapse
    00:51:07 Context as the moat
    00:56:07 Where AI hits next
    00:58:44 Vertical AI & hidden TAMs
    01:02:12 $1B startups vs mega rounds
    01:05:48 Dilution, fund math & pressure
    01:08:03 Choosing your founder path

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Run the Numbers is a twice-weekly podcast about financial metrics and business models, designed for ambitious people operating tech startups. It's a collection of things host CJ Gustafson (CFO at Partstech and writer of Mostly Metrics) has learned and thought about in the trenches as a tech CFO. This show is meant to serve as a playbook of sorts for the stuff CJ wishes he knew earlier in his career, both from experience and from copying people smarter than himself. Topics frequently touch upon Startup SaaS Metrics, Annual Budgeting, Financial Forecasting, Headcount, Equity, Dilution, and Fundraising – and how all of these drive business performance and growth.
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