The Stablecoin Future, Macro Moves & Big Tech Embracing Crypto | Permissionless IV Recap
In this special bonus episode, we dive into the takeaways from Permissionless IV, unpacking the biggest industry narratives and themes shaping crypto today. We discuss the future of stablecoins, give a candid macro outlook, and explore how Big Tech is positioning itself as the next crypto overlord. Finally, we reflect on some predictions we got wrong – and what we learned from them. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:57 Permissionless IV Takeaways
07:00 Biggest Industry Narratives
12:00 Future of Stablecoins
17:44 Macro Outlook
20:47 Big Tech Overlords
28:38 Predictions We Got Wrong
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Crypto #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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33:56
The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
In this live Forward Guidance Roundup, we discuss geopolitics and the “peace dividend” theory from Pippa Malmgren, potential Fed regime shifts toward fiscal dominance, Trump’s pressure on FOMC board members, and the effects of tariffs and buybacks on equities. We also explore the implications of a weakening dollar, capital flows out of the U.S., and how AI and crypto could reshape wealth creation and ownership in the coming decade. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
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Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:10 Geopolitical Framework
05:00 Biggest Story in Markets
08:22 Flows vs Fundamentals
13:33 Moving Toward Fiscal Dominance
16:39 Housing, Labor, & the Wealth Gap
20:12 The Dollar Decline & RoW Assets
27:15 Investing in the RIght Themes
30:02 Potential Currency Accord
34:31 Tariffs, AI, & Labor
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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43:12
DeFi Lending Will Eat Wall Street By 2030 | Sidney Powell
In this special episode recorded live at Permissionless IV, Maple Finance CEO Sid Powell unpacks the rise, fall, and rebuild of crypto lending. He discusses navigating the 2022 crypto credit collapse, the trade-offs between fixed and variable lending, why traditional institutions are finally entering DeFi, and how composability, transparency, and tokenized credit products are reshaping global finance. Sid also shares Maple’s shift toward overcollateralized lending, BTC-based yield products, and the future of structured on-chain credit. Enjoy!
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Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:52) Sid Powell's Journey into Crypto
(02:11) The Birth of Maple Finance
(02:51) Challenges and Evolution in Crypto Lending
(07:12) Ledger Ad
(07:12) Challenges and Evolution in Crypto Lending
(08:45) Navigating the 2022 Crypto Crisis
(14:33) Current State of Crypto Lending
(17:21) Biggest Crypto Innovations
(18:32) Ledger Ad
(19:32) Defi Integration and Secondary Markets
(21:01) Creating Counterparty Transparency
(22:52) Transparency and Financial Product Costs
(24:40) Fixed Rate vs Variable Rate Lending in Crypto
(28:21) Future of Crypto Lending and Institutional Interest
(31:16) Structured Products and Treasury Companies
(35:51) Navigating Crypto Market Cycles
(38:25) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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38:44
The Fed Is Still Choosing to Be “Late” On Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup
In this live Roundup episode from the Monetarium 2 conference in DC, we unpack the Fed's hawkish pivot, the growing risk of stagflation, and Powell’s apparent commitment to being “late” with rate cuts. We debate what an SLR exemption means for bond markets, how Treasury issuance and TGA refills could spike yields, and why 2026’s Fed chair pick could upend everything. We also explore global capital flows, the decline of US dollar dominance, and how to navigate a world where almost every asset feels dangerous to own. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:00) FOMC Decision
(09:06) Aptos Ad
(09:50) FOMC Decision
(13:09) Noisy Economic Data
(14:14) SLR Changes
(18:43) TGA Drain & Buildup
(24:50) Long Bond Yields
(25:28) Aptos Ad
(26:21) Long Bond Yields
(29:11) Powell Replacement
(34:38) Fiscal Dominance
(39:58) US Assets vs ROW
(46:12) Dollar Losing Reserve Status?
(51:17) Where to Put Your Money
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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55:10
Empire | Introducing the Token Transparency Framework
In this special episode from the Empire podcast, Blockworks unveils its new Token Transparency framework—an initiative designed to close the information gap and bring much-needed clarity to the crypto space. Dan Smith, Head of Data at Blockworks, explains how this framework will reshape how token projects operate and why transparency is the key to crypto’s future. Enjoy!
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Supply Shock Survey: https://bitcoinhistorynl.beehiiv.com/forms/979475d9-fb4b-4c13-99af-5037dd5718c6
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code SUPPLY10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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Ledn is the leading platform for Bitcoin-backed loans, offering a secure and transparent way to unlock liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Ledn has issued over $9 billion in loans since 2018 and has never lost a single satoshi of client assets, earning a reputation as the name you can trust in the crypto space.
Visit https://www.ledn.io/ to learn more.
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at https://Ledger.com.
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Timestamps:
00:00 Token Transparency
02:25 The Token Market & Lemons
11:40 Equity vs Token Risk
14:18 Structural Token Issues
17:12 How Did We Get Here?
22:57 Token Horror Stories
31:50 Token Launches
56:50 Best Case Scenario
01:02:38 Impact On Token Prices
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.
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