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5 de 28

GBE Founder Cory Paddock: Great Traders Know When a Regime Change Is Coming
How do you find trading edge in electricity markets? Cory Paddock, co-founder of GBE, explains how real alpha generation in power trading comes from anticipating paradigm shifts before the market sees them. In a renewable energy trading market shaped by constant regime change—coal replaced by gas, wind and solar reshaping grid topology, and data centers driving new load volatility—edge belongs to those who read the grid, not the price charts. His approach blends energy infrastructure insight with algorithmic trading discipline: track locational marginal prices, study market data pipelines, and build conviction around where power will actually flow. In fast-moving electricity markets, where historical data decays quickly, the strategy is simple—trade clean, understand risk management deeply, and position early for the next market shift.Cory’s incredibly bullish on Gen Z in quant finance. He’s betting on Gen Z quants. They’re Python- and LLM-native, fluent in building tools and models that turn raw market data into live trading infrastructure. Their exposure to open-source research and self-directed learning creates a new kind of trader—one who codes faster, questions conventions, and finds alpha in overlooked niches of energy and power trading. At GBE, he builds an environment where Gen Z trading talent can experiment, own ideas, and learn risk management through real positions, not simulations. The result is a new generation of algorithmic traders redefining what edge means in modern markets.- Building a trading strategy for electricity markets and finding edge through data-driven alpha generation- Anticipating paradigm shifts in markets and adapting trading models to regime change in power trading- How renewable energy trading and grid congestion reshape price discovery and risk management- Designing a market data pipeline for real-time energy infrastructure analysis and trading execution- Why electricity markets differ from traditional quant finance and what makes power trading unique- Using algorithmic trading frameworks to process market data and identify short-term dislocations- Risk management frameworks for volatile energy markets and five-minute tick data decision-making- Recruiting Gen Z trading talent fluent in Python, machine learning, and market data engineering- How Gen Z quants approach trading edge differently—experimentation, automation, and fast iteration- Structuring incentives for traders to align P&L ownership, discipline, and long-term performance- The psychology of running a trading firm with personal capital and managing downside risk- Why historical backtests fail in energy markets due to infrastructure evolution and topology change- Market structure and locational marginal pricing (LMP) as the foundation of energy trading strategy- How physical constraints in grids create alpha opportunities for quantitative trading teams
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42:18
Christina Qi Started a Hedge Fund From Her Dorm Room. Now, Top Trading Firms Now Buy Her Data.
Can you start a hedge fund as a college student? Christina Qi, co-founder of Domeyard, did—and later built Databento, a modern market data API used by top algorithmic trading and quantitative trading teams. We get into how high-frequency trading (HFT) actually works, why clean order book/tick market data matters for robust trading strategies, and how a product-led model beats “talk-to-sales.” Christina shares what it takes to compete with Bloomberg/Refinitiv, where AI in finance is headed, and how better data unlocks faster research, reliable execution, and scalable quantitative trading workflows.Christina also breaks down hedge fund fundraising as a first-time manager—what allocators look for, how to structure fees/lockups/redemptions, and why your track record is everything. We talk about 2025 algorithmic trading: easier tools, tougher alpha, and how to find edge with high-quality market data, disciplined backtesting, and strong risk management. She closes with career advice for aspiring quants: master market structure, build real trading strategies in Python, and apply machine learning trading where it truly adds value—not as hype, but as part of a rigorous AI in finance toolkit.We also discuss...Founding Domeyard in college and turning a summer strategy into an HFT hedge fundUsing high-frequency trading to attract day-one allocators in hedge fund fundraisingWhy a verifiable track record matters more than terms when raising capitalHow to set fees, lockups, and redemptions as a first-time managerWhen investor relations and performance diverge and how to keep LPs during drawdownsWhy Domeyard shut down and the scalability limits of HFTBuilding Databento as an API-first market data/market data API platform for algorithmic and quantitative tradingSolving data licensing and usage rights with clean tick data, order book data, and better market microstructure coverageCompeting with Bloomberg and Refinitiv by focusing upstream on raw market data (not dashboards)Winning with product-led growth and self-serve checkout instead of talk-to-salesA bottom-up purchase at a major AI company as proof that PLG works for market data APIsAdoption by options market makers, quant funds, and AI in finance teams for research, alternative data, and NLP for markets use casesCheaper backtesting and better trading infrastructure but tougher alpha generation in 2025A public roadmap and user upvotes to prioritize datasets that matter to quants and quantitative trading workflowsAdvance commitments that de-risk new exchange integrations and ensure day-one usageIncumbents copying features as validation that Databento leads in market data APIsThe AI-in-finance arms race and why data quality decides machine learning trading, risk management, and Sharpe ratio outcomesHow macro conditions change fundraising outcomes for startups and hedge fundsCareer advice for aspiring quants: learn market structure/market microstructure, data engineering, rigorous backtesting, portfolio construction, and build real trading strategies
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51:53
159 Billion-Dollar Quant Investor: Stop Only Investing in the S&P500
Should you invest in the S&P 500, or look for smarter ways to beat the market? Jason Hsu, Co-Founder of Research Affiliates ($159B AUM) and now CIO of Rayliant, explains why simply buying the index or asking “should I invest in ETFs” isn’t enough. In this episode, he breaks down smart beta vs S&P 500, systematic investing, and how factor investing strategies and fundamental indexing can deliver some of the best long-term investment strategies for investors who want to know how to beat the market beyond traditional index funds.Asian markets are less efficient than the US, Jason says. With higher retail speculation, governance risks, and volatility, opportunities open up for quant investing through Asian ETFs, China stock market investing, and emerging markets investing strategies that capture inefficiencies. As CIO of Rayliant, Hsu shows how his team builds factor-based portfolios across China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and other emerging markets to turn inefficiency into alpha.We also cover:- How Jason Hsu cofounded Research Affiliates, scaling systematic strategies to manage $159B AUM- Launching the PIMCO All Asset Fund in 2002 and bringing multi-asset investing strategies to retail investors- The origin of smart beta ETFs and why fundamental indexing offers a better alternative to cap-weighted indexes- How the tech bubble exposed flaws in traditional indexing and set the stage for factor investing strategies- Why governance factors and valuation discipline are especially important in emerging markets- Building Rayliant’s smart beta 2.0 products using multi-factor models and machine learning in investing- How factors in investing reveal the “nutrients” of a portfolio for long-term compounding- The difference between risk premia and behavioral biases as drivers of factor returns- Examples of behavioral investing mistakes in Asia and how professionals can capture alpha from retail flows- Why low-frequency quant strategies align better with pension funds and sovereign wealth funds than high-frequency trading (HFT)- The future of quant investing explained: machine learning, non-linear models, and portfolio construction- Jason’s career advice for young professionals navigating the hedge fund and asset management career path00:00 Intro01:42 Founding Research Affiliates and early startup days03:02 Launching the PIMCO All Asset Fund in 200204:26 Smart beta ETFs explained and how they started09:19 Spinning off Rayliant and focus on Asia10:26 Why Asian markets are less efficient than the US11:43 Opportunities from inefficiency and alpha in China13:38 Gambling analogy and retail speculation in Asia16:53 Liquidity challenges in smaller emerging markets20:41 Rayliant’s product offerings and smart beta 2.020:57 What factors reveal about markets and portfolios23:34 Risk premia vs behavioral biases in factors25:39 Governance, valuation, and smart money factors in Asia28:27 Using machine learning in Rayliant’s strategies34:05 Can discretionary managers still have edge today38:39 Poker, luck, and systematic investing advantages41:00 Future of discretionary managers and pod firms42:44 Are high-frequency trading firms sustainable long term46:22 Rayliant’s mission and value to society50:00 Career advice for young finance professionals53:14 Closing thoughts
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53:25
She Left Citadel and Built a BILLION-DOLLAR Hedge Fund
Can you trade the stock market with AI? Yes: Renee Yao launched Neo Ivy Capital, a billion-dollar** AI hedge fund that uses AI in trading and investing to generate alpha. In this episode of Odds on Open, she explains how she built a quant hedge fund from scratch, scaling to over $1B AUM** with advanced AI hedge fund strategies that adapt to markets in real time and show how to trade stocks with artificial intelligence at scale.Unlike traditional firms that rely on armies of quant researchers and static machine-learning models, Renee (who used to work as a QR Analyst at Citadel and Portfolio Manager at Millennium) reveals how machine learning in trading has evolved into true self-learning AI. She breaks down why most funds still depend on crowded factor bets, and how her fund’s approach delivers uncorrelated returns — a real edge in the hedge fund career path and a blueprint for the future of systematic investing.**Note: According to a recent Form ADV filing, Neo Ivy Capital oversees about $1.02 billion in assets under management. This figure represents total regulatory AUM, which is broader than the ~$313M reported in 13F-disclosed securities and may include additional holdings or leverage.We also discuss...- Citadel hedge fund strategy and risk management lessons after 2008- Why diversification and breadth of edge matter in a quant hedge fund explained- How Neo Ivy uses AI in trading and investing to generate uncorrelated returns- Why machine learning in trading has evolved into true self-learning AI- The three barriers to entry for AI hedge funds: modern AI, infrastructure, portfolio design- Why large funds rely on crowded factor bets while Neo Ivy delivers pure alpha- How fund size impacts scalability and alpha opportunities- What it’s like moving from Citadel and Millennium to founding a fund- How to start a hedge fund and build infrastructure from scratch- How self-evolving AI models adapted during COVID market shocks- The role of modern tools like LSTMs and transformers in AI hedge fund strategies- Career and life lessons from the hedge fund career path and staying disciplined00:00 Intro01:14 Renee Yao’s journey to founding Neo Ivy02:28 Joining Citadel after the financial crisis04:13 Hedge fund diversification and breadth of edge04:45 Why Neo Ivy trades with AI strategies07:50 How self-learning AI adapts to markets09:40 Causation vs correlation in AI hedge funds10:33 Barriers to entry for AI hedge funds14:47 Risks of crowded factor bets explained16:39 Why big funds struggle with AI talent17:29 From PM at Citadel to hedge fund founder18:47 Challenges of launching a quant hedge fund20:25 Biggest constraint for AI hedge fund startups22:08 How AI hedge funds adapted during COVID24:04 Modern AI tools used in quant trading25:13 Building hedge fund infrastructure from scratch26:26 Career advice for aspiring quants and traders28:55 Adapting career goals to changing job markets31:57 Life lessons from trading and risk management32:51 Staying disciplined while running a hedge fund34:38 Obsession and belief in AI hedge funds35:41 Closing thoughts on hedge funds and life
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35:59
Former Nomura Managing Director: How the Sell-Side Created Modern Quant Finance
In this episode of Odds on Open, Ethan Kho sits down with Joe Mezrich, Founder of Metafoura LLC and former Managing Director at Nomura Quant Strategies, to reflect on nearly 40 years in quant finance. Joe’s career spans the early days at Salomon Brothers—where he helped pioneer factor models, risk modeling, and even early machine learning in finance—through senior sell-side research roles at Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Nomura.Joe shares how the sell side effectively built modern factor investing, why models like the Barra risk model failed in crises such as the Tech Bubble (2000) and the Quant Crisis (2007–08), and how market-neutral strategies and algorithmic trading continue to shape today’s buy-side. He also explains why interpretability, from CART decision trees to today’s LLMs for trading, is critical for robust risk management.We cover:- Origins of quant finance on the sell side at Salomon Brothers.- Early factor models, the Barra risk model, and portfolio risk modeling.- Use of robust statistics and CART decision trees in machine learning for finance.- Why risk models failed in the Tech Bubble (2000) and Quant Crisis (2007–08).- Growth of market-neutral strategies and interaction between sell-side research and the buy side.- Crisis lessons: liquidity concentration, model speed, and explainability.- Evolution of factor investing into overlays and ETFs.- How quant researchers balance complexity vs. interpretability with LLMs for trading.- Role of alternative data, point-in-time datasets, and data visualization in alpha.- Wall Street culture: Liar’s Poker-era Salomon, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Nomura.- Impact of interest rates, earnings vs. sales growth, and macro regimes on factors.- Sustainability of multi-manager pod shops (Citadel, Millennium) and implications for quants.- Career lessons: curiosity, humility, and finding beauty in quant models.Whether you’re a quant researcher, an aspiring algorithmic trading professional, or an allocator seeking to understand systematic funds, give this a listen.00:00 Intro and Episode Overview00:46 Origins of Quant Finance at Salomon Brothers02:56 Early Factor Models and Barra Risk Model05:51 Robust Statistics and CART Decision Trees08:58 Machine Learning in Finance 1990s Experiments12:06 Why Risk Models Failed in Tech Bubble15:31 Lessons from the 2007 Quant Crisis18:51 Rise of Market Neutral and Sell-Side Research22:26 Evolution of Factor Investing to ETFs26:01 Balancing Complexity and Explainability for Quants29:16 Alternative Data and Point-in-Time Datasets32:46 Wall Street Culture Salomon Morgan UBS Nomura38:08 Interest Rates Macro Regimes and Factor Drivers41:51 Are Multi-Manager Pod Shops Sustainable?46:04 What Makes Exceptional Quant Researchers Last49:26 Curiosity Humility and Risk Management52:56 Finding Beauty in Quant Models and Data56:16 Final Lessons from 40 Years in Quant Finance
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