The Numbers

The polls over the last few weeks have not been kind to the Conservatives, as multiple surveys have put the party under the psychologically important threshold of 30%. What does this mean for Pierre Poilievre, and could some upcoming byelections be points of no return for his leadership?

This week on The Numbers, we break down the plethora of recent polls that have been published and what they say for Mark Carney and Avi Lewis, as well as the Conservative leader. We also discuss a trio of new polls out of Quebec that point to an unpredictable provincial election, as well as two new polls out of Ontario that have better news for Doug Ford ahead of three byelections. Then, we dive into the mailbag to answer some questions, including what odds we'd give an early election call.

The extended mailbag (about 25 extra minutes) is available for the podcast’s Patreon members and Apple subscribers. If you’d like to get the full mailbag, as well as early and ad-free episodes and other bonuses, you can watch or listen to the episode on our Patreon page.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

New polls published over the last week agree that the Liberals are ahead — but are they ahead by a little, or by a lot?

This week on The Numbers, we try to make some sense of differing poll numbers that aren’t all good news for Mark Carney (though they are mostly bad news for Pierre Poilievre). We also discuss the calling of three byelections in Chicoutimi—Le Fjord, Beaches—East York and North Vancouver—Capilano. Plus, there’s a new poll out of Ontario that has Doug Ford frowning, and Philippe is back with The Quiz!

The podcast will be taking a break next week. We’ll be back in two weeks!

Did you miss our politics/astronomy quiz from earlier this week? You can join the Patreon and watch or listen to the episode here.

https://thenumberspod.ca/posts/when-politics-165082595

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription

You can also watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

An otherwise relatively quiet political summer has been rocked again by U.S. President Donald Trump, as he is set to impose a new round of tariffs on Canada. How might another tussle with the United States impact the polling numbers, which seemed to suggest the Liberals undergoing a modest softening in their support?

This week on The Numbers, we discuss the potential impact of another tariff fight on Mark Carney’s poll numbers. We also break down the results of a provincial byelection in Manitoba that has more good news for Premier Wab Kinew, and chat about some new polls on the popularity of premiers David Eby and Danielle Smith. We then answer some member questions from the mailbag, with the full segment being available to Patreon members here.

https://thenumberspod.ca/posts/will-trumps-new-164645774

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We’ll admit it when we might have been wrong — and the results of Monday’s byelection in Prince Edward Island suggest we might have been a bit too skeptical of a Narrative Research poll that put the PEI Greens in the lead. So, we start with some mea culpas, and a discussion of whether the Cornwall—Meadowbank could be the proverbial flap of the butterfly wings that has bigger repercussions further down the line.

In addition, on this week’s episode of The Numbers we breakdown the latest federal poll numbers, as well as a new survey on how Canadians feel about the construction of new pipelines. We also try to make sense of yet another poll out of Nova Scotia that paints yet another different portrait of the province’s political landscape. Then, we close with a Green-hued Quiz.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Don’t you know who I am?

For many Canadians, the answer is “no” when it comes to some of our political leaders. A new poll from Pollara suggests that very few Canadians can name the leader of the NDP (Avi Lewis) or any cabinet ministers, while Pierre Poilievre’s recognition hasn’t shifted much over the last three years. Plus, many people still struggle to spell his name correctly.

This week on The Numbers, we discuss these recognition numbers as well as the latest polls on federal voting intentions nationwide and provincial voting intentions across Atlantic Canada, where the results leave us a little lost for words. We also breakdown Conservative MP Richard Martel’s appointment to the Senate and what it means for the upcoming byelection in Chicoutimi—Le Fjord.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.