Markets Poised for Seven-Month Low; Trump & Mamdani to Meet Friday
On today's podcast:1) Global stocks are poised for their worst week in seven months as concerns over lofty valuations and whether massive investments in artificial intelligence will pay off prompt investors to retreat from riskier assets. The MSCI All Country World Index has slumped 3.1% this week, putting it on track for its sharpest weekly drop since April 4, when President Trump’s tariffs rattled markets. Bitcoin fell below $84,000, extending its drop from an all-time high less than seven weeks ago to more than 30%. European and Asian shares were also set for their biggest weekly decline since April after Wall Street’s Thursday selloff. Sentiment remained fragile for US assets, with S&P 500 futures fluctuating after the benchmark slipped to its weakest level since September.2) Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson said she’s approaching next month’s rate-setting meeting with caution, though she remains more concerned about weaknesses in the job market. “Each rate cut brings us closer to the level where policy flips from restraining activity a bit to the place where it is providing a boost. So, I am approaching the December FOMC cautiously,” Paulson said Thursday, referring to next month’s gathering of the Federal Open Market Committee. “Each rate cut raises the bar for the next cut.” Deep divisions have emerged among policymakers after they lowered rates at two consecutive meetings. Some remain concerned more by weakness in the labor market while others have expressed growing worry over inflation. The lack of official data during the long government shutdown has also blurred policymakers’ view of the economy.3) President Trump and New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani are set to meet at the White House on Friday, the president said in a social media post. The meeting marks the first time the two leaders will come together to discuss how they can work with each other since the election earlier this month. Mamdani was elected as mayor of New York City after campaigning on a progressive platform that includes freezing the rent on more than 1 million stabilized apartments, providing universal child care, funding free buses and operating city-owned grocery stores. Mamdani, a democratic socialist, is seeking higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy to pay for his agenda.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Nvidia Earnings Ease AI Bubble Fears; Traders Brace for Jobs Report
On today's podcast:1) Nvidia Corp. delivered a surprisingly strong revenue forecast and pushed back on the idea that the AI industry is in a bubble, easing concerns that had spread across the tech sector. The world’s most valuable company expects sales of about $65 billion in the January quarter — roughly $3 billion more than analysts predicted. Nvidia also said that a half-trillion-dollar revenue bonanza due in coming quarters may be even bigger than anticipated. The outlook signals that demand remains robust for Nvidia’s artificial intelligence accelerators, the pricey and powerful chips used to develop AI models. Nvidia had faced growing fears in recent weeks that the runaway spending on such equipment wasn’t sustainable. Nvidia results have become a barometer for the health of the AI industry, and the news lifted a variety of related stocks.2) Bond investors are zeroing in on Thursday’s US labor market report, which is expected to either kill or rekindle waning expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next month. The September payrolls report, due at 8:30 a.m. New York time after a delay caused by the government shutdown, will be the only official major jobs data published before Fed policymakers meet for the final time this year. A report showing a resilient employment situation could undercut the case for more rate cuts and dash hopes of a further rally in the $30 trillion US Treasuries market. A soft reading, on the other hand, could revive bets on a third consecutive quarter-point cut at the Dec. 10 meeting and boost a market that’s already headed for its best year since 2020. Odds of a December cut assigned by the market have steadily slipped in recent weeks as some policymakers pushed back against further easing while inflation continues to run above the Fed’s 2% target.3) President Trump has signed legislation to compel the Department of Justice to release files on the late, disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein. Trump said in a social media post that he signed the legislation Wednesday, approving a measure he had spent months trying to block in a fight that inflamed tensions in his own party and threatened to undermine his agenda. The president’s signature marked a stunning about-face for Trump, who had assailed the effort to require the release of the government’s files on Epstein — a convicted sex offender, who was facing federal charges of trafficking underage girls when he died in jail in 2019. It followed a lopsided 427 to 1 vote in the House — where a lone Republican lawmaker provided the only no vote — and the Senate agreeing unanimously to send the measure to the president’s desk.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Bloomberg Tech Special: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on Upbeat Forecast
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang discusses the "off the charts" sales of the Blackwell advanced graphics processing unit (GPU), the company's new Vera Rubin platform and the outlook for demand from China with Bloomberg Tech co-host Ed Ludlow, in a special conversation as heard on Bloomberg TV and Radio.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Instant Reaction: Nvidia Gives Strong Forecast, Countering Fears of AI Bubble
Nvidia, the world’s most valuable company, gave a strong revenue forecast for the current period, helping counter concern that a global surge in AI spending is poised to fizzle. Sales will be about $65 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter, which runs through January, the chipmaker said in a statement Wednesday. Analysts had estimated $62 billion on average, with some predictions ranging as high as $75 billion. The outlook signals that demand remains strong for Nvidia’s artificial intelligence accelerators, the pricey and powerful chips used to develop AI models. Nvidia has faced growing fears that the runaway spending on such equipment isn’t sustainable. Nvidia shares gained about 4% in late trading after the report was released. They had been up 39% this year through the close.For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg Businessweek Daily hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: Jay Goldberg, Senior Analyst, Semiconductors & Electronics with Seaport Research Partners Bloomberg Tech Co-Host Ed Ludlow Bloomberg News Big Tech Team Leader Sarah Frier See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Congress Passes Epstein Files Bill; Nvidia Earnings on Deck
On today's podcast:1) President Trump’s firm control of Washington showed signs of weakening Tuesday as Congress voted to compel the Justice Department to release its files on sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein, whose earlier ties to the president have been the subject of intense scrutiny. The legislation overwhelmingly passed the House in a 427 to 1 vote. Within hours, the Senate agreed unanimously that the bill would be passed without further action once it arrives in the Senate. It will then be sent to Trump, who has said he’ll sign it. Trump late Sunday relented on his prior opposition and directed Republicans to vote to release the files. Senate Republicans ignored calls by Speaker Mike Johnson to give the Justice Department additional leeway to withhold documents. 2) President Trump said he would formally designate Saudi Arabia as a major non-NATO ally in a further strengthening of ties between the two countries, capping a day of dealmaking between the US leader and the kingdom’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The designation for nations with close strategic relationships with the US provides financing and priority access for purchases of certain military equipment, as well as the ability to participate in joint research efforts. Saudi Arabia will become the 20th ally designated under the status, joining other nations in the Middle East including Egypt, Israel, and Qatar. MBS, as Saudi Arabia’s de facto leader is known, was joined by prominent executives and celebrities including Elon Musk and soccer star Cristiano Ronaldo at the Tuesday evening event, with Apple CEO Tim Cook, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, and FIFA President Gianni Infantino also in attendance.3) Wall Street will get a sense of where the billions of dollars being spent on artificial intelligence are going when Nvidia reports its earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Analysts expect the chip behemoth to show more than 50% growth in both net income and revenue in its fiscal third quarter. The reason is fairly straightforward. Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com Inc., Alphabet Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc. — which taken together represent more than 40% of Nvidia’s sales — are projected to increase their combined AI spending by 34% over the next 12 months to $440 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The risk is that these numbers could become unreliable if the big AI spenders, in particular closely held OpenAI, have to pull back on their commitments.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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