The Investopedia Express with Caleb Silver

• Tariff Flip Flops Supercharge Our Animal Spirits

  Last week's softening of the Trump administration's tariff policies super charged the stock market to its biggest daily gains in years, but incoherent messaging from the White House has investors second-guessing the rally in stocks and selling U.S. Treasuries and the Dollar. Plus, retail investors have been trying to catch falling knives amid the market volatility by buying the dips, but that strategy has backfired in this cycle, and trust in our capital markets has been compromised. And, big bank CEOs are warning about a recession, but beauty stylists are already seeing it show up at the salon. Links for show notes: https://content.govdelivery.com/bulletins/gd/USDHSCBP-3db9e55?wgt_ref=USDHSCBP_WIDGET_2 https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html https://www.investopedia.com/trump-exempts-smartphones-computers-chips-from-tariffs-11714237 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lipstick-effect.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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• Why The Big Short is Not Short Right Now

  Steve Eisman, who was profiled in the terrific book and movie, "The Big Short", explains why he's not shorting any parts of the market right now, but what he would bet against under certain conditions. He explains what's different about this recent volatility and the Great Financial Crisis and the crash of 1987, and how the tariff war might play out as negotiations continue. Plus, his thoughts on Steve Carell's portrayal of him in the movie and how that has changed his life. Links: https://www.audacy.com/podcast/the-eisman-playbook-048f2 https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/020115/big-short-explained.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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  21:40
• Powell Preaches Patience as Trump Tariffs Topple the Bull

  Liberation Day last week brought the biggest selloff in the stock market since the early days of the pandemic as investors couldn't get out of stocks fast enough, putting a swift end to the bull market that began running in October of 2022. Fed Chair Jerome Powell preaches patience as the impacts of the tariffs are still unknown, but consumers and investors haven't been this pessimistic in years. We lay out three scenarios for what might happen next in the tariff war, but one thing is for certain - no one - not even our elected officials, really knows. Plus, the Fed Chair shares his favorite economic indicator and Grateful Dead albums. LINKS for show notes https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/ https://sabew.org/ https://www.investopedia.com/stocks-just-had-one-of-their-worst-weeks-of-this-century-update-11709694 https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11708734 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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  20:07
• Bracing for 'Liberation Day', and the Dizzying Decline of the Dollar

  Investors have been bracing for, and selling ahead of April 2nd, dubbed "Liberation Day", by The White House, when hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs are set to be imposed on Canada, Mexico and China. That has driven consumer and investor sentiment down to multi-year lows as we ready ourselves for more inflation and profit pressure. Meanwhile, the rise of a new coalition of autocracies called the CRINK's has been very busy doing business with one another in Russia, China, Iran and North Korea, and they are doing it without the Dollar. What a declining greenback means for the strength of the U.S. economy as it enters a new era of protectionism. LINKS for show notes: https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/other-areas/office-of-technology-evaluation-ote/section-232-investigations https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/protectionism.asp https://globaltradealert.org/ https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11704419 https://www.investopedia.com/investors-are-gripped-by-fear-and-distrust-but-hold-onto-favorite-stocks-11703339 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnG2EvqRKbA Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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  15:45
• The Fed Said the "T" Word, and Individual Investors Buy the Dip

  Stocks rallied last week following dovish comments and forecasts from the Federal Reserve, but Chair Powell said inflation may be 'transitory', which brought back nasty flashbacks from 2021. Investors are as bearish as ever, but retail investors have been buying the dip on our favorite stocks that are way off their recent highs. Is our timing terrible, or have we decided that the market has bottomed and the tariffs that go into effect next week will just be a minor adjustment? Plus, what the SKEW Index is telling us, and what to expect in the stock market and the economy this week. LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES: https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11700527 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/skew-index.asp https://www.cboe.com/us/indices/dashboard/skew/ https://www.carsongroup.com/insights/blog/four-reasons-not-to-panic-and-sell-right-now/ https://www.investopedia.com/dot-plot-spotlight-fed-sees-interest-rate-cuts-coming-11699946 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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