ARC ENERGY IDEAS

Peter and Jackie start the podcast by discussing President-elect Donald Trump’s threat to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico and the potential impact on Canadian oil and gas markets and prices.Next, Peter and Jackie welcome their guest, Vittoria Bellissimo, President and CEO of the Canadian Renewable Energy Association (CanREA). CanREA is a national industry association and the voice for Canada's wind, solar, and energy storage solutions.Here are some of the questions Jackie and Peter asked Vittoria: How would you describe the mood of renewable developers in Canada today? Tariffs on solar equipment could be added at the Canadian border; how will this impact the cost of developing solar and wind projects? Why has Canada recently imported more electricity from the United States? Does this mean Canada is already facing tighter electricity markets? Alberta is redesigning its electricity market, called the REM or Restructured Energy Market. Why is this change needed? What concerns do renewable generators have regarding the proposed changes for the Alberta market? Are you concerned about the potential electricity demand growth from AI data centres in Alberta and elsewhere?Content referenced in this podcast:CanREA’s Clean Energy Procurement CalendarDunsky report commissioned by CanREA, that defines the potential for onsite or behind-the-meter solar in CanadaEIA note on how US exports of electricity to Canada have increasedCanREA’s Go Solar Guide 2024, the go-to source for Canadians looking to install solar on their rooftops and homes Please review our disclaimer at:https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinst LinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas Podcast Apple Podcasts Amazon Music Spotify 

This week, the podcast begins with Jackie and Peter reviewing recent news, including key takeaways from COP29, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and discussions about potentially restarting the Keystone XL oil pipeline project. They also reviewed President Trump's nominations for the Department of Energy (DOE), the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and the US Department of the Interior and plans to launch a National Energy Council to coordinate policies and boost US energy production. Next, Peter and Jackie welcome their guest, Bob Dhillon, the Founder, President, and CEO of Mainstreet Equity Corp., which is a Calgary-based real estate company specializing in acquiring, redeveloping, and managing mid-market residential rental apartment buildings across Western Canada.Buildings, including apartment buildings, are a significant source of emissions. According to the Canada Green Building Council (CAGBC), “residential, commercial, and institutional buildings contribute 17% of Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Considering building materials and construction brings that number closer to 30%, making the building sector Canada’s third-highest carbon emitter.”Here are some of the questions Jackie and Peter asked Bob: What is your perspective on the Canadian housing crisis? What are some solutions for solving the housing shortage? Who pays for energy in Mainstreet’s apartment buildings? What projects have you undertaken to reduce energy use in the buildings? Who pays for the escalating carbon tax? How would a net zero building code impact the housing shortage?Content referenced in this podcast: Liberty Energy’s Report “Bettering Human Lives”Mainstreet Equity Corp. website: https://www.mainst.biz/Please review our disclaimer at:https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify 

On November 9th, 2024, the Canadian Government published a proposed policy to cap oil and gas sector emissions, known as Canada Gazette Part 1. While the final targets will not be set until 2026, the Government estimates that this policy, in conjunction with other policies, will reduce GHG emissions from the oil and gas sector by 35% in the early 2030s compared to 2019. When flexible compliance options are considered, actual emissions are targeted to decline by 19% from 2019 levels.This week, Sander Duncanson, Partner at Osler and Co-Chair of Osler's national Regulatory, Indigenous, and Environmental practice, joins the podcast. Osler is a leader in Canadian business law.Peter, Jackie and Sander discuss their concerns with the proposed policy. Topics covered include:The low likelihood of the regulation becoming final law.The potential for the policy to create winners and losers, market distortions, and other unintended consequences.The complexity of Canada’s regulatory framework which reduces investment.Concerns that Canada and the United States are moving in opposite directions regarding carbon policy. Canada is increasing stringency, while the US is expected to reduce its carbon policy, thereby creating the threat of investment moving from Canada to the US (carbon leakage).The options to provide feedback on the proposed policy are available until January 8th, 2025.Content referenced in this podcast:Canada Gazette, Part I, Volume 158, Number 45: Oil and Gas Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions Cap Regulations (November 9th, 2024)Consultation feedback can be provided within a series of online forms in the Gazette, Part 1 link above, by January 8th, 2025. Another option for feedback is to submit a “Notice of Objection” by the same date. More information on this option can be found under the heading “PROPOSED REGULATORY TEXT” in the Gazette.Peter Tertzakian’s commentary in The Hub “DeepDive: It’s time for a carbon policy time-out” (November 2nd, 2024)Osler’s Blog “Federal government announces constitutionally questionable oil and gas sector emissions cap” (November 8th, 2024)Please review our disclaimer at:https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinst LinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple Podcasts Amazon Music Spotify 

On November 5th, Donald Trump was elected as the 47th President of the United States. The Republicans gained a majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. There were also recent provincial elections in Canada, including British Columbia, where the incumbent NDP party nearly lost power to the Conservatives. Federally, in Canada, there is potential for a spring election.This week, Shachi Kurl, President of the Angus Reid Institute, joins the podcast to talk about the recent elections and polling.Here are some of the questions that Jackie and Peter asked Shachi: What does the election of Donald Trump tell you about the state of democracies? How important of an issue is immigration? To what extent do Canadians support Trump's policies and approach? What is the likelihood of US import tariffs of 10-20% being applied to Canada? What are the likely energy policies from the Trump administration? What are the priorities in British Columbia post-election, and do you expect any change with respect to natural resource development and LNG? How could the election of President Trump impact the next Canadian election?  Do you expect any leadership changes for the Liberals?  How does climate change rate as a priority for Canadian voters?Content referenced in this podcast: Angus Reid InstituteShachi Kurl, Ottawa Citizen Article, “Don’t expect a unified ‘Team Canada’ approach to Donald Trump this time” (Nov 8, 2024) Awaiting the next President: Canadians prefer Trudeau to deal with Harris, Poilievre to work with Trump (Nov 4, 2024)Please review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/  Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify