Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data. SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade War SEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying Opportunities SEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock Positions SEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of Diversification SEG-4b: The Return of Bullish Exuberance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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46:26
2-4-25 Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?
Money flows continue to be positive, despite all the negative headlines and news over the past couple of weeks. Admittedly, this is part of the overall cycle, with markets over bought and now going through a corrective phase. Halfway through a recovery, we're near the trigger point for a short-term sell signal, with only a little downside pressure. A consolidation is not surprising at this juncture. Also, we're midway through earnings season, and next week will see the buy back window open much wider. Markets today will once again flirt with the 20- and 50-DMA; markets need some "muster" to rally back above the 50-DMA to keep support intact. There is a decent possibility markets could fail at this current resistance level and retest the 100-DMA...not outside the norm for the "weaker" month of February. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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4:14
2-3-25 Markets Down in Response to Tariffs
Markets have been doing "okay" as of late, in a large trading range for past couple of months. Markets will open today below the 20-DMA in a knee-jerk open in response to President Trump's promise over the weekend to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. We'll be watching for signs of the market processing the news, and see where things stabilize later in the day. This is a day to Do Nothing, and wait for the dust to settle, just like last Monday. We close to triggering a sell signal. Markets have been in a consolidation range, with no reason to be concerned so long as trading remains within a broad banded trading range. Watch for a pick up in volatility, just like last Monday. Also worth watching today is the Tariff impact on the Dollar and countries anticipate the effects on currency exchanges. Remember, a strong Dollar = Monetary tightening, which will impact markets as well. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L3ALjJcELsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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4:18
1-31-25 Tips & Traps You Need to Know for Tax Season
Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The FEd's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax Code can make you cry like Selena Gomez: Rich & Matt discuss inflation-adjusted tax brackets and standard deduction changes; Qualified Charitable Donations, Quarterly estimated tax payment requirements, and avoiding underpayment penalties. Are itemized deductions even worth the trouble? IRA contributions & avoiding pre-tax and after-tax fund mingling. Catchup contributions & HSa's: They're like a healthcare IRA. The retirement spending smile vs stairstep spending; planning and goal-scooping in retirement. Planning for more volatility in 2025, dealing with portfolio assets that go up and down. SEG-1: Apple Sets the Tone; Why Some Inflation is Good SEG-2: The US Tax Code Will Make You Cry SEG-3: Avoid Mixing Pre-tax and After-tax Dollars SEG-4: Tracking the Retirement Spending Smile Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/ "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxSeason2025 #TaxTips #TaxDeductions #IRSUpdates #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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46:20
1-30-25 The Fed Holds Firm
It's the end of the month, and the determining day for the January Barometer is tomorrow. Markets knee-jerked all over the board following yesterday's Fed announcements to hold firm at current rates. Economic news was not encouraging, with export up, imports down, suggesting the economy is weaker than thought; labor and demand dynamics. There is a lot of speculative money pouring into markets; nobody is buying stocks anymore. It's all in options, which will end badly for many because it's very speculative. Lance recounts the latest reports from Magnificent-7 member companies; Michael explores data center dynamics, the DeepSeek effect of cheaper processing, and Tesla's big plans. An admonition to be careful about following headlines; the one thing China is good at: Stealing the work of others'. Lance's favorite day is Thursday; economic data is not good; what the Fed thinks now and commentary on Labor; What the Atlanta Fed said; trying to control inflation from the Executive Branch. How did DeepSeek do it? Michael preaches on the fallacy of Meme Coins, and why they're destroyers of wealth; the role of influencers. SEG-1: January Barometer & EOM; Nobody's buying Stocks Anymore SEG-2: MAG-7 Round up and Data Center Dynamics SEG-3: Cheat Meals & Fed News SEG-4a: How DeepSeek Did It SEG-4b: How Meme Coins Destroy Wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/ "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Colombia