The Real Investment Show Podcast

Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that's creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: https://youtu.be/y7ilBZWTrcA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement

Why do wealthier households tend to live longer and experience fewer chronic diseases? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the Wealth-Health Gap—how income, savings, and environment shape health through housing quality, access to care, and financial resilience. We also flip the lens: poor health can reduce earnings, drain savings, and create a vicious cycle that widens disparities across generations. Finally, we discuss systemic factors that amplify the gap and practical policy ideas aimed at improving both economic stability and health outcomes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Uncle Floyd & Chuy Intro 3:06 - The Health-Wealth Connect 6:05 - Diet, Lifestyle, & Spending Choices 7:32 - Kevin O'Leary's Health-Wealth Regimen 9:40 - Lifestyle Matters 12:48 - The Cost of Healthy Eating 20:02 - The Revolution in Health in Wealth Planning 22:02 - Younger Generations Want to Know 27:15 - Planning for Healthy Retirement 28:30 - Information for Better Health 31:56 - Planning for Healthcare Costs in Retirement 34:14 - Why Not Know? 38:40 - Stack the Odds in Your Favor 44:15 - Candid Coffee Teaser Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Truflation vs CPI: What Inflation Is Really Doing Today," here: https://youtube.com/live/Ojlx_IPrDUg?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthHealthGap #SocialDeterminantsOfHealth #HealthEquity #FinancialPlanning #WealthInequality

Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation's real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We'll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel "in the shops," because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy

Markets sold off again Wednesday, closing right on the S&P 500's 50-day moving average (50-DMA). While the index is still riding its underlying support line and working off an overbought condition, the momentum trade has largely been wrung out. Despite the turbulence, the broader uptrend remains intact—just with a lot more internal rotation. Wednesday's damage was concentrated in mega-cap momentum and "growth leadership," while much of the rest of the market held up better. That matters because Value vs. Growth has become increasingly overextended over the last several sessions—conditions that often precede a mean-reversion move and create rotation trade opportunities. The NASDAQ is also telling a different story. It's broken down through the 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages during a consolidating/topping process and remains on a sell signal. However, after the persistent selling in Technology, the index is now extremely oversold. Historically, oversold extremes have often aligned with short-term bottoms and tradable reflex rallies—even if the bigger-picture backdrop stays choppy. Bottom line: a rotation back from Value into Growth over the coming days and weeks wouldn't be surprising. As investors, the goal isn't to chase what worked yesterday, but to watch for setups where price has moved too far, too fast—and where improving risk/reward can favor disciplined entries, position sizing, and clear stop/target levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis

Today's live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the "real world" constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition angle—why wind/solar intermittency matters, the critical minerals push, and why fundamentals still matter when narratives run hot. On the positioning side, we discuss whether metals look oversold, how to think about "rebound rallies," and why investor discipline (process, rebalancing, and risk controls) beats chasing headlines. Finally, we shift to planning questions that come up constantly in the chat: Medicare timing (age 65 vs. later), enrolling in your 70s, key pitfalls with Medicare Advantage, and how COBRA fits into the transition. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- Earnings Season Recap 4:05 - Markets Sell off to Rebound 9:05 - Tech Stocks & AI - Where are We? 10:17 - Is AI Destroying Software Profit Margins? 16:26 - Will ERCOT Pump the Brakes of Data Centers? 19:22 - Wind & Solar Are Not Consistent or Reliable 20:42 - The Critical Mineral Push 22:33 - Fundamentals Matter a Lot 24:19 - Are Metals Over Sold? 27:41 - Investor Discipline & Having a Plan 29:10 - This was Not a Forced Manipulation 30:45 - Leverage on Bitcoin 31:47 - Jumping on Medicare at age 65? 38:44 - Signing Up for Medicare in 70's 40:32 - Be Careful with Medicare Advantage 42:56 - The Thing About COBRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLVV-H-lG3A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "The Trap of Chasing Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dip Buyers Step In" is here: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing #BuyTheDip #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #RiskManagement #Medicare