The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets held steady Tuesday, but beneath the surface, conditions are becoming increasingly stretched. Prices are now sitting well above key moving averages, with momentum and relative strength pushing into overbought territory. While there's no immediate sign of breakdown, this level of extension typically limits upside and raises the probability of a near-term pullback. With key catalysts ahead, including today's Fed announcement and earnings releases, markets are vulnerable to even minor negative surprises. As we move into May, a period that historically brings more volatility, the combination of seasonal weakness and technical extension increases risk. This may be a good time to review portfolios, trim risk, and prepare for a potential pullback—which could ultimately present a more favorable entry point. Markets don't move in straight lines, and patience here may be rewarded. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz --- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Microsoft OpenAI Marriage Is On Rocky Ground" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-microsoft-openai-marriage-is-on-rocky-ground/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #TechnicalAnalysis

Divorce is rarely just emotional—it can be financially devastating. Lance Roberts and Jon Penn break down the many costs and consequences of divorce, with a focus on "financial infidelity" and how hidden spending, secret accounts, and undisclosed income are tearing marriages apart. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Earnings Season Chugs Along 4:01 - What's Hanging Over Markets Now 5:31 - Market Breadth Narrows 10:34 - Private Jets & Early Wake-up Calls 11:24 - Cohabiting, Marriage, & Financial Conflict 16:14 - Forensic Accountants & Secret Families(!) 18:52 - Splitting & Combining Money - The Zero-based Budget 21:52 - Two Biggest Causes of Divorce 23:06 - The "Gray Divorce" Phenomenon 25:08 - Financial Infidelity & Gambling 30:08 - Biggest Risk in Marriage (Poll) 32:34 - "Half!" 36:10 - Pre-marital Financial Counseling 37:56 - The Real Meeting 42:07 - Financial Habits are Hereditary 47:17 - Beware Lifestyle Creep Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sSYl1w7TUek?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Warning," here: https://youtu.be/KOvVspATC_o ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Why is the Market Ignoring the Strait? " https://youtube.com/live/tpVJst4GNkE?feature=share ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #Nasdaq #EnergyStocks #DivorceCosts #FinancialInfidelity #PersonalFinance #MarriageAndMoney #WealthManagement

Markets pushed to another all-time high Monday, with momentum accelerating as the 20-DMA crosses back above key moving averages. But while price action remains strong, conditions are increasingly overbought and extended, making further gains harder to sustain. Under the surface, cracks are forming. The equal-weighted S&P 500 has declined for five consecutive days, signaling narrowing market breadth as leadership rotates back into mega-cap tech. Nvidia's surge highlights this concentration risk, raising questions about how durable this rally is without broader participation. Looking ahead, futures are mixed this morning, and key macro signals are developing. The U.S. Dollar is stabilizing and nearing a buy signal, which could pressure commodities. Meanwhile, energy prices and the XLE ETF are strengthening, potentially setting up a reversal trade that could support broader market participation. Watch for whether energy and value stocks can step in to stabilize breadth, or if this rally continues to narrow. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/KOvVspATC_o --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #Nasdaq #EnergyStocks

Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have historically sent shockwaves through global markets—especially oil. Yet today, markets appear unusually calm. Why? Lance Roberts breaks down the disconnect between rising geopolitical risk and resilient equity markets, exploring why investors may be discounting the threat, including shifting oil correlations, expectations for contained conflict, and the role of liquidity, positioning, and market structure. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Assassination Attempts & Strait of Hormuz News 5:12 - Markets Consolidate to Close at All-time Highs 9:44 - Data Center Plays Today 15:06 - Men, Women, & Movies 19:42 - Is the Market Ignoring the Strait of Hormuz? 29:42 - What To Do Now 36:02 - The Dollar's Funeral Nobody Attended Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Smart Wealth Transfer Strategies " https://youtube.com/live/J1FjILk7Gaw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews #Geopolitics #OilPrices #Investing

Markets ended a volatile week at new all-time highs, but the path higher is getting more challenging. Despite ongoing consolidation, stocks remain extended above key moving averages, suggesting upside from here may be more limited than the sharp rally off recent lows. Under the surface, the market is still healthy. Breadth is improving, sector rotation is constructive, and earnings growth—especially in semiconductors and energy—continues to support higher prices. However, rising oil prices and interest rates are beginning to push inflation expectations higher, which could become a headwind. The message for investors is simple: stay constructive, but don't chase. Use strength to take profits, rebalance risk, and be patient for better entry points as markets either consolidate further or pull back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews