Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael discusses portfolio management, and Lance previews his re-release on portfolio gardening. Revealing analysis of "spikey data" in CPI and PPI calculus. Inflation remains sticky at high levels. CPI data is flawed by Shelter component; Airline Fares are "super-spikey." The Fed 2% Inflation number is a "round-down" number. Effects of the Barter Trade: Will slow inflation...AND the economy. The "No-Buy" economy effects on delivery drivers. Lance and Michael discuss insurance companies' changes due to catastrophic losses; Michael provides a content preview of his presentation at this weekend's economic summit, elements affecting bond yields, and "term premium." The Bond Vigilantes are not like Paul Revere; they're not the do-gooders, but opportunists profiting on sentiment. Greedy shorts. SEG-1: CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE: Which Matters Most to the Fed? SEG-2: How to Deal with Super-Spikey Data SEG-3: Insurance Changes from Catastrophic Loss SEG-4: Why Bond Vigilantes Are Not Do-Gooders Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDMhEOXvkBg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-analysis-is-not-voodoo-its-vital-context/ "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI: The Big Reveal," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketInsights #TradingStrategies #InvestmentTips #FinancialEducation #CPIReport #PPI #SpikeyDate #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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46:33
1-16-25 Markets Set Up to Rally
Markets have been clinging by fingernails to the 100-DMA in anticipation of PPI & CPI results; markets in response moved above the 20-DMA, and this morning markets are wrestling with two key areas: The 50-DMA and a declining top trendline that is intersecting with the 50-DMA. If markets can get above the 50-DMA and hold it, that will set up markets to rally tomorrow, trigger a MACD buy signal, and push markets upwards toward 6,000. We are starting to see money flows turn positive. We're still not out of the woods on inflation concerns, however, so use any rally to rebalance risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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4:43
1-15-25 CPI: The Big Reveal
It's CPI Day (December Core Inflation clocked-in at a lower than expected .2%) so let's pin it all on the Fed. Weaker PPI & Higher Trasnportation costs; Used car prices are keeping inflation elevated, thanks to storm and fire loss replacement demand. Markets flirting w 100_DMA, holiding support; what a weaker CPI print may mean. Lance pranks Danny with book sales for "Bull Dog" Ratliff; the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index surge, post-election; The concept of an 'Exeternal Revenu Service' vs reality; sentiment-driven surveys vs reality. Sentiment and outlooks vs stock price expectations; why the Fed does QE. Lance and Danny review new rules for IRA Catch-ups; adopt the Roth; what to do with funds? The Hierarchy of Savings: Live easy now, hard later vs hard now, easy later. SEG-1: CPI Day Preview SEG-2: Danny "Bull Dog" Ratliff & The Markets' Big Picture SEG-3: The External Revenue Service SEG-4: IRA Catch-ups & The Hierarchy of Savings Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI Encourages Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPIReport #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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46:32
1-15-25 CPI Encourages Markets
Markets have been flirting with the 100-DMA over the past few days, breaking it twice. But money flows have been coming into the markets, enabling recovery by the end of the day, and holding support at that level. Money flows still have a slight, negative tinge, but it's improving. Any good news today will result in a fairly decent rebound in the markets. This morning's CPI report reflected lighter core inflation than expected for December. Lance explains why we increased exposure to energy stocks and reduced other positions ahead of earnings reports. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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3:23
1-14-25 Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase
PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies. SEG-1: PPI, CPI Previews SEG-2: Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market Valuations SEG-3: Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building Wealth SEG-4: Highwater Marks & Portfolio Compartmentalization Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cob96R2cIfw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Colombia