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The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts
The Real Investment Show Podcast
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  • 11-17-25 Full Market Cycles: Why Bull Runs Always Meet Their Match
    Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn't bullish or bearish. It's risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn't to predict the next crash—it's to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. 0:00 - INTRO 0:27 - Market Moves Will Hinge on Nvidia 4:18 - Markets' 3rd Test of 50-DMA 8:46 - Why Berkshire Lags the S&P 10:36 - Economic Acceleration Expectations for 2026 14:01 - Consumer Spending Drives Economic Growth 17:42 - Economic Consolidation is Underway 21:45 - Half of Expected Cap-Ex Spending Will Support Economic Activity 23:48 - Full market Cycles Encompass Bulls & Bears 28:20 - A History of Markets' Performance 29:58 - Market Cycles Have Rhythm - The Wycoff Cycles 31:52 - There is No Evidence of Imminent Crash 33:42 - Full market Cycle Analyses 35:22 - Navigating Markets Now 37:51 - Betting Against Buffett 40:59 - Market Dynamics Can Drive Bull Markets for a While 42:42 - Data Deluge & Comming Attractions 👉 Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and practical money management. 📍 More at RealInvestmentAdvice.com Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9-K-d9bfV_o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=254s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Top Forming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9ZcmcDNCM8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Open Enrollment Traps to Avoid This Year" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2P3Un4Mq_g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NvidiaEarnings #InvestingNews #MarketCycles #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #StockMarketAnalysis #Valuations
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  • 11-17-25 Is a Market Top Forming? | Before the Bell
    Markets tested the 50-DMA for the third time since October on Friday—and once again, buyers stepped in to defend support. Futures are pointing higher this morning, but the setup still looks like a weak open for Wall Street. With upside resistance near 6,900, the market remains stuck in a well-defined trading range. The big catalyst this week? Nvidia earnings, which could determine whether this consolidation resolves higher—or if we're watching the early stages of a topping process. Short-term signals remain on a sell, and relative strength is cooling. But bullish year-end factors like corporate buybacks, momentum chasing, and neutral professional sentiment continue to provide a floor. In this environment, the message hasn't changed: Stay disciplined. Manage your risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9ZcmcDNCM8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NvidiaEarnings #InvestingNews
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  • 11-14-25 Open Enrollment Traps to Avoid This Year
    Open Enrollment season is here—and it's one of the most overlooked financial opportunities employees have all year. In this episode, we break down the biggest mistakes people make when reviewing their employer benefits and how to approach your plan as if you were a brand-new hire. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the smart way to choose health insurance, whether young workers really need life insurance, and which "it'll never happen to me" benefits can make or break your financial stability. We'll also explore where employer benefits are heading in 2025—what companies are offering, what employees actually want, and how to make sure you're getting the most value out of your compensation package. Whether you're picking between an HSA or PPO, weighing disability coverage, or wondering if the "fun stuff" like wellness perks and lifestyle accounts are worth it—this guide helps you optimize your choices and avoid costly mistakes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Pennies are Going Away 5:02 - Open Enrollment Season is Here 7:40 - ADP Benefits Survey Results 13:04 - Understanding the Difference Between HSA vs FSA 17:40 - Retirement Savings Plans - Roth vs 401k 14:58 - Group Health Insurance vs ACA 21:40 - Mental Health Coverage 23:26 - Dental & Vision Coverage Options 27:13 - Don't Be Complacent 27:55 - On-site Facilities - Wellness & Day Care 29:57 - Disability Coverage - Max It Out 32:10 - Life Insurance Coverages 34:08 - How Kids Age Us 37:22 - Childcare Benefits 👉 Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and practical money management. 📍 More at RealInvestmentAdvice.com Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2P3Un4Mq_g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Fueling New Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jm-ZtvJ12Fk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "QE Is Coming: Why Fed Liquidity Now Runs the Entire Market," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YZaHtreohI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=93s------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OpenEnrollment #EmployeeBenefits #FinancialPlanning #HealthInsurance #MoneyTalk
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  • 11-13-25 QE Is Coming: Why Fed Liquidity Now Runs the Entire Market
    The scent of QE is back. With overnight funding markets flashing early stress and NY Fed President John Williams hinting at "gradual asset purchases," it's clear: the liquidity cycle is turning again. But the real question is why markets have become so dependent on the Fed in the first place. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the 2008 financial crisis fundamentally rewired market plumbing, sidelined private liquidity providers, and turned the Federal Reserve into the primary—and often the only—source of liquidity in the financial system. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Government Shutdown Concludes - Deluge of Data to Follow 3:04 - Dow 48,000 9:43 - Will the Fed Cut Rates? 13:21 - Why the Rush to Cut Rates? 17:14 - What's Causing Turmoil at the Fed? 20:42 - What Changed w Bank Reserves? 24:31 - Capital Rules, Liquidity Rules, & Disincentives 26:20 - Breaking the Buck 28:45 - The Fed-led Liquidity Regime 30:32 - What Are the Drivers of Elevated Valuations? 34:10 - When the Government Spends Money... 37:42 - What Would Michael Do (if he was Fed Chairman) 👉 Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and practical money management. 📍 More at RealInvestmentAdvice.com Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "QE Is Coming: The 2008 Roots Of Fed Dominance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/qe-is-coming-the-2008-roots-of-fed-dominance/ -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Fueling New Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jm-ZtvJ12Fk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "ow to Spend Without Regret: Strategies for Enjoying Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saML4wbTAtg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=47s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #SectorRotation #TechStocks #Staples #Discretionary #Amazon #Tesla #Healthcare #Premarket #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #MarketLiquidity #2008FinancialCrisis #InvestingInsights
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    41:34
  • 11-13-25 Market Rotation Fueling New Highs | Before the Bell
    Markets posted a fourth straight day of gains, reclaiming the 20-DMA and pushing back toward all-time highs—with the Dow breaking above 48,000 for the first time. The bullish trend remains intact as a momentum buy signal sits on the verge of triggering. Under the surface, rotation is driving the story. Healthcare continues to outperform, even outpacing Tech. Staples are starting to recover from deeply oversold levels, with a potential momentum shift if they clear the 20- and 50-DMA. Finance is improving from oversold conditions with strengthening relative strength. Meanwhile, Disney beat earnings and boosted buybacks, though content remains its weak spot. Amazon continues to support Consumer Discretionary, but strip it out, and activity slows noticeably. If this rotation out of Tech continues, these beaten-down sectors could help push markets even higher into the end of the week. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jm-ZtvJ12Fk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #SectorRotation #TechStocks #Staples #Discretionary #Amazon #Tesla #Healthcare #Premarket
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    5:34

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