The Real Investment Show Podcast

Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have historically sent shockwaves through global markets—especially oil. Yet today, markets appear unusually calm. Why? Lance Roberts breaks down the disconnect between rising geopolitical risk and resilient equity markets, exploring why investors may be discounting the threat, including shifting oil correlations, expectations for contained conflict, and the role of liquidity, positioning, and market structure. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Assassination Attempts & Strait of Hormuz News 5:12 - Markets Consolidate to Close at All-time Highs 9:44 - Data Center Plays Today 15:06 - Men, Women, & Movies 19:42 - Is the Market Ignoring the Strait of Hormuz? 29:42 - What To Do Now 36:02 - The Dollar's Funeral Nobody Attended Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Smart Wealth Transfer Strategies " https://youtube.com/live/J1FjILk7Gaw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews #Geopolitics #OilPrices #Investing

Markets ended a volatile week at new all-time highs, but the path higher is getting more challenging. Despite ongoing consolidation, stocks remain extended above key moving averages, suggesting upside from here may be more limited than the sharp rally off recent lows. Under the surface, the market is still healthy. Breadth is improving, sector rotation is constructive, and earnings growth—especially in semiconductors and energy—continues to support higher prices. However, rising oil prices and interest rates are beginning to push inflation expectations higher, which could become a headwind. The message for investors is simple: stay constructive, but don't chase. Use strength to take profits, rebalance risk, and be patient for better entry points as markets either consolidate further or pull back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews

What are the smartest ways affluent families transfer wealth efficiently—and what mistakes should you avoid? Richard Rosso & Devoda Owens share wealth transfer strategies from the simplest approaches to more advanced planning techniques, starting with foundational tools like annual gifting and using lifetime exemptions. Also explaining how to think about asset selection—what to gift now versus what to hold for a step-up in basis. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Missed Exits, '70's Music, Origins of the RIA Eagle 4:15 - Looking at Wealth Transfers 5:55 - Charitable Donations & Tax Deductions 7:47 - The Great Wealth Transfer 11:14 - Wealth Transfer Planning for Asset Protection 13:03 - The Foundation of Wealth Transfer is Gifting 16:58 - Trust Planning: Revocable & Irrevocable Trusts 19:31 - Potential for Taxation of Wealth Transfers 22:59 - Managing Illiquid Assets in a Trust 24:57 - Messy Estate Plans for Celebrities (Do you really need one?) 30:14 - Trusts Are Expensive 31:56 - Donor-advised Charitable Funds 35:27 - Leaving Inheritance for Pets, the Saga of Gravy Train 37:49 - Roth Conversions in Wealth Transfers 42:14 - Our Next Candid Coffee (5/16/26)* Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP, MS ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/J1FjILk7Gaw ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Can Warsh Reshape the Fed?" https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthTransfer #EstatePlanning #TrustStrategies #FinancialPlanning #HighNetWorth

Kevin Warsh's nomination hearing put Federal Reserve reform front and center. His vision challenges long-standing norms, raising key questions about how monetary policy could change—and what it means for markets. What would a Warsh-led Fed mean for interest rates, inflation expectations, and market stability? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the implications. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Kevin Warsh & Fed Reform; Technology at All-time High 5:47 - If You Missed the Rally... 10:32 - Temps in God's Country 11:39 - Odds are Kevin Warsh Will Be Confirmed 12:22 - Misnomer: The Fed is Trying to Bail Out the Dollar 16:02 - All Money is Lent Into Existence 18:29 - Money Supply is Not a Gauge of Inflation 22:09 - Misunderstanding Leads to Poor Investing Decisions 23:19 - When Kevin Warsh Replaces Jerome Powell 24:44 - QE is Reverse-Robinhood 26:40 - Fed Switch from Trimmed PCE for Inflation Metric 28:22 - Fed Communication & Forward Guidance 31:20 - Markets No Longer Pay Attention to Fundamentals 34:39 - Will Warsh Be Able to Make Substantive Changes? 36:17 - Fed Crises & New Chairmen 39:18 - Passive Investing Does a Disservice to Economy 41:05 - The Value Names Don't Have a Lot of Value 43:06 - Passive Investing Creates Mis-allocation of Capital ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Ask Us Anything " https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy

Markets continue to hold up well, but momentum is beginning to slow as overbought conditions persist. While earnings expectations and money flows remain supportive, the near-term upside appears limited without a period of consolidation or a pullback. In today's pre-market update, we discuss why patience is critical here. With key economic data ahead and uncertainty around potential Fed leadership changes, markets may need time to reset before the next leg higher. Chasing this rally at current levels could expose investors to unnecessary short-term volatility. Technically, the setup is improving beneath the surface. The 20-DMA is rising and working back above longer-term moving averages, which can provide near-term support if markets hold current levels. However, a more attractive entry point likely comes with a pullback toward the 50- and 100-DMA support cluster. Despite geopolitical concerns, including tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, markets are focusing on forward earnings and longer-term expectations. The trend remains intact, but discipline is key as momentum slows and the market works through this phase. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys?si=DP1sskL3hOfVuD_C --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve