The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is the stock market topping — or just catching its breath? This week, equity markets face a triple threat: an Iranian strike rattling geopolitical risk assets, an Anthropic AI capability announcement that hammered IBM, CrowdStrike, financials, and SaaS stocks, and a technical picture showing the S&P 500 slipping below both its 20- and 50-day moving averages. Lance Roberts breaks down the bull and bear case in full. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Market Over Reaction to Iran Hits? 6:54 - The Potential for Building a Market Topping 13:27 - Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation 18:11 - The Energy Stocks Heat Map 20:40 - The Iran Situation 23:03 - Gauging the Risk 24:56 - The Bearish Scenario 29:23 - The Bullish Scenario 37:04 - What We're Doing Now 39:08 - Be Cautious With Positioning 42:12 - Coming Attractions ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3M6saceH5g?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Cut Your Medicare Bill in 2026 | IRMAA Appeal Secrets" here: https://youtube.com/live/dO3QPhf0rEs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Hold 100-DMA?" is here: https://youtu.be/h0iV2DpbEq4 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #MarketAnalysis #CrudeOil #BondMarket #StockMarket2026 #MarketTop #SP500Analysis #IranGeopolitics #AIStocks

Markets are at a critical level — here's what to watch before the open. The S&P is sitting on 100-day moving average support after three weeks of testing, and futures point to a ~1% gap down at the open. The key question: do markets close below the 100-DMA and confirm a topping process — or do bulls recover into the close? In this pre-market breakdown: 📉 100-DMA support test & topping pattern risk 📊 RSI declining + weakening momentum signals 💵 US Dollar strengthening amid global risk-off 🛢️ Crude oil spiking — what it means for inflation & yields 📈 Bonds overbought — is now the time to take profits? Yields are elevated and overbought. If oil prices feed into inflation, we could see yields push toward 4–4.1%, which may offer a better bond re-entry point on a reversal. Oil itself is overextended from long-term means — sustainability at these levels will be a challenge. ⚠️ This video is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. 🔔 Subscribe & hit the bell for daily pre-market analysis. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/h0iV2DpbEq4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #MarketAnalysis #CrudeOil #BondMarket

Are you paying MORE than necessary for Medicare in 2026? The IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount) could be adding hundreds of dollars a year to your Medicare premiums — but there's a legal way to fight back. Richard Rosso breaks down everything you need to know about the 2026 IRMAA thresholds, how to appeal, and the income strategies that could save you thousands in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Go Texas Day & BBQ Perfume 3:16 - IRMAA Pain & Income in Retirement 7:18 - How IRMAA Tiers Work 9:38 - Ways to Manage IRMAA 13:23 - What Kind of Income Counts (Modified AGI) 18:07 - Having Money in ROTH (Diversification of Accounts) 20:22 - Planning Ahead Before Taking SS 22:59 - IRMAA Pain Early is Better 26:32 - Don't Let an IRMAA Bracket Go to Waste 29:08 - Considering Taxation & Attitude 34:21 - IRMAA Tiers & Financial Colonoscopy 38:03 - YouTube Poll & NYC Pizza Rats 41:19 - Can COBRA be used for IRMAA? 43:06 - Why Roth Money is Better 45:09 - Required Minimum Distributions & Charitable Contributions 47:51 - Coming Attractions ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dO3QPhf0rEs?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Software Stocks: Steal or Zero" here: https://youtube.com/live/6DavZVDY7OQ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Medicare2026 #IRMAAAppeal #RetirementPlanning #MedicarePremiums #SocialSecurityBenefits

Is AI killing software stocks — or creating the buying opportunity of the decade? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz review: Since peaking in September 2025, the software ETF (IGV) has crashed 30% while semiconductors (SMH) surged 30% and broad tech stayed flat. The market is pricing in a "SaaSpocalypse" — the idea that generative AI will make traditional SaaS companies obsolete. But is that narrative right? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:49 - National Chili Day & Demise of Whataburger 3:04 - Nvidia & SalesForce Report 7:25 - Markets Are "Stable" 12:17 - Blizzards & Chili 13:21 - The Incredible Nvidia Numbers 15:37 - The Lack of Market Reaction to Nvidia Report 17:02 - Where Will the Capital Come From? 23:22 - Why the Market Isn't Enthusiastic (about Nvidia) 24:30 - SalesForce & The Software Apocalypse 30:15 - Who Will Survive? 33:13 - Will AI Create a New Spreadsheet 36:19 - Tariffs: Old vs New: Markets Are Calm 40:49 - Betting on Tariff Refunds? ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6DavZVDY7OQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Software Stocks: Navigating The SaaSpocalypse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/software-stocks-navigating-the-saaspocalypse/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk About Your Money" here: https://youtube.com/live/oW7OkyOvYC4 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialPlanning #AskUsAnything

Markets just triggered a momentum BUY SIGNAL — here's what you need to know before the open. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 cleared both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reaffirming market stability after days of choppy price action below key technical levels. Sector rotation is driving the move — money is flowing OUT of Energy and Staples and INTO Technology and Growth. But the broader picture still shows a consolidation range with a topping process underway. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/tM0dk2oR0N4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #SectorRotation #SP500 #MomentumTrading