BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

The much-anticipated 2026 midterm elections are now over, giving us a glimpse into how the next two years will play out in American politics. While Democrats and Republicans remain divided on many important topics, one type of policy seems to have bipartisan support—could the latest round of elections be good for the housing market? Today, we’re breaking down exactly how the new lineup of senators, representatives, and local players could affect home prices, supply, demand, and your property taxes.

Earlier this year, we saw one of the biggest bipartisan housing bills signed into law—the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act. This bill expedited environmental reviews and preapproved building designs, plus it offered new lending rules that could help borrowers across the country; surprisingly, both Democrats and Republicans fought for it. Could more housing bills be signed into law during the next two years? If so, it’s these.

A massive boon for homeowners could happen in two ways: capital gains could be indexed to inflation so you’re not paying on purely paper gains, and the owner-occupied $250K/$500K exemption could be doubled to $500K/$1M. For anyone who owns property, these are huge changes. But that’s not all. The “Build More Agenda,” which has bipartisan support, could curb construction prices and finally allow ADUs to be federally financed.

We’ll get into those three new political pushes in more detail and talk about the sizable property tax changes that could affect you if you’re in a few specific states.

The 2026 midterm election results and what they mean for the housing market

Your capital gains tax bill could get cut BIG time (big news for homeowners if passed)

The “Build More Agenda,” which is pushing for lower costs, ADU financing, and tariff relief

A $1,000,000 tax break for owner-occupants?

Where property taxes are getting cut, limited, or slowed way down

The housing laws that will matter the most to where you’re investing

And So Much More!

In This Episode We Cover
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When Obi Johns was a teenager, he saw his parents do something remarkable: they sold their home and made $150,000 from market appreciation alone. But then, months later, the investor who bought his childhood home sold it AGAIN for nearly $400,000 profit. Obi looked at his family and thought, “That should have been us.”

So, after graduating college with a degree he had little interest in, he quickly decided to get into the real estate game—but as an agent. As he grew, he saw his clients flipping houses and knew he wanted to do it, too, not just to make money, but to understand the buyer and seller in the transaction. Obi had zero experience, but he documented his first house flip on Instagram, which went viral overnight and led to 26 showings in a single day.

The best part? Obi didn’t use the copy-and-paste flipper finishes most buyers are tired of; he let his audience decide the design—and it worked. Obi walked away from that flip with a $40,000+ profit, and the next one was even bigger. Obi details his entire “vibe flipping” model to get over-asking offers in a matter of days, and how you can test as you invest in your first deals, too.

In This Episode We Cover

How “vibe” investing is making Obi much more money than stale, systematized flips

Going viral on your first real estate investment and when making content makes you money

Arguably the best first investment for a new (and young) real estate investor (5% down)

Is it worth getting your real estate license as an investor?

A $400,000 missed opportunity that changed Obi’s investing path forever

And So Much More!

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠h⁠⁠t⁠t⁠ps://www⁠.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1351.

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Is the housing market going to crash? Everywhere you turn, there seems to be another headline forecasting the next housing market meltdown. But what’s behind all the noise? Actual data? Or just fearmongering?

If the housing market is going to collapse, real estate investors want to know, which is why we’re giving you the “crash math” on today’s show—the data that can help predict the likelihood of a housing crash.

There are a few key indicators that can tell us the direction of the housing market, and if we had all of them in 2008, we would have seen the writing on the wall. So today, we’ll comb through multiple data sets, show you which figures matter most, and share our own predictions about a potential crash.

We’ll even revisit the 2008 Financial Crisis, the warning signs most people missed, and the aftermath. Then, we’ll compare the numbers, trends, and patterns to what we’re seeing in 2026.

Most people agree that this real estate market feels “stuck.” But is this “Great Stall” the calm before the storm or simply a lull we have to ride out before things improve?

In This Episode We Cover

Six key indicators that can help predict a housing market crash

What would need to happen before the housing market is in (real) danger

Why the 2026 housing market isn’t anything like the 2008 housing crash

The “canary in the coal mine” all investors should be watching out for

The actual mechanics of a housing crash explained (“crash math”)

And So Much More!

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠h⁠⁠t⁠t⁠ps://www⁠.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1350.

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There’s a new FIRE movement—and this time, it includes real estate.

You’ve probably heard of the FIRE movement before (financial independence, retire early). It’s a strategy that combines frugal living, saving as much money as possible, and investing everything you can to retire early. The problem? Not many people we know want to “retire early” just to be stuck in a coupon-cutting life for decades.

What if you could achieve financial freedom while still traveling, going out to eat, buying the things you want, and not optimizing every single cent in your life? That’s where Afford Anything’s Paula Pant comes in, with her new “FIIRE” movement.

Paula tried the FIRE movement and accomplished the goal—ultimate time freedom. But, contrary to much FIRE advice, she built a small, powerful rental property portfolio, paid it off, reduced her risk, and now lives a wealthy life traveling the world, running her own business, and doing what she wants.

Today, Paula shares her new FIIRE strategy for financial freedom, why rental properties (preferably paid off) should play a part in yours, and why penny-pinching and saving as much money as possible will not get you the lifestyle you actually want.

In This Episode We Cover

Paula Pant’s new (upgraded) “FIIRE” movement for those who want to live a richer life

How Paula used just seven rental properties to make herself work-optional

Why your idea about “money” probably needs a rewiring before you can build wealth

You cannot save your way to wealth: how to increase your income so your life gets bigger

Why index funds and real estate deserve to be in your financial freedom portfolio

Do you need to pay off debt before investing in real estate?

And So Much More!

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Have you ever thought, maybe real estate investing isn’t worth it anymore?

Lindsay Barrientos didn’t start buying rentals after the 2008 crash or ride the low-interest-rate wave in 2021. She started in late 2022, after home prices and interest rates had already spiked. But she knew about the long-term potential of real estate and trusted the process—buying one house at a time and banking the rental income for the next down payment.

Now, just four years later, Lindsay’s 12-property portfolio has given her the flexibility to go back to school, quit her grueling W-2 job, and start her own business. And she didn’t do anything the average investor can’t do today. She lives in a high-cost-of-living area, so she invests in a real estate market where her money goes further. Her properties are 2,000 miles away, so she leans into her investing team.

No “perfect” timing. No big bank account. Just a plan and simple, consistent action.

Whatever’s keeping you on the sidelines—prices, rates, the economy—Lindsay’s story may be the push you need to get started today.

In This Episode We Cover

How rentals helped Lindsay quit her 14-year hospital job (and start a business)

Scaling from zero to 12 rental properties in just four years

How to narrow down affordable real estate markets to invest in

The two-offer strategy that can help you buy more off-market deals

Key relationships that make investing out of state (much) easier

And So Much More!

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